NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 17, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 13 | 34 | 76.5% | 1 | 33.0 | 1 |
| 2 | Gavin Gray | 11 | 33 | 61.1% | 2 | 26.6 | 5 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 10 | 33 | 55.6% | 5 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 10 | 34 | 58.8% | 3 | 27.6 | 4 |
| 3 | Nick Boucher | 10 | 34 | 58.8% | 3 | 28.1 | 3 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 8 | 33 | 44.4% | 6 | 24.3 | 7 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 8 | 33 | 44.4% | 6 | 24.7 | 6 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 7 | 34 | 41.2% | 8 | 23.1 | 8 |
| 9 | Karl Loiseau | 6 | 35 | 37.5% | 9 | 22.4 | 9 |
| 9 | Steve Creaser | 6 | 33 | 33.3% | 10 | 20.4 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 11.8 | BAL | 0.39 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 12.9 | MIN | 0.73 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 8.3 | ATL | 0.59 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | 11.1 | MIA | 0.57 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 8.4 | TB | 0.41 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 7.1 | CHI | 0.61 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 12.5 | LAC | 0.69 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 8.8 | PIT | 0.61 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 7.7 | SF | 0.27 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 11.8 | NE | 0.79 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 8.8 | LA | 0.39 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 7.0 | NYG | 0.57 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 10.4 | DET | 0.61 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 9.6 | IND | 0.57 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 8.1 | CLE | 0.43 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 12.5 | PHI | 0.43 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 8.0 | NA | |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 3.8 | NA | |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 10.3 | NO | 0.46 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 8.9 | JAX | 0.54 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 5.5 | LV | 0.39 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 10.8 | NA | |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 7.6 | DEN | 0.54 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 4.7 | WAS | 0.43 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 9.0 | ARI | 0.76 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8.8 | KC | 0.31 |
| Denver Broncos | 1 | 4.6 | GB | 0.46 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 3 | 8.1 | NA | |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 7.3 | NA | |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 5.0 | BUF | 0.21 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 16 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 26 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 23 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 19 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 22 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 1 | 21 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 12 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 24 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
Draft Results
